Tag: Trump
Final Predictions: 2024 Presidential Election
If you’ve followed the Partisan Gravity Presidential Election Forecast, then you know well that we’ve had this race categorized as a toss-up as the election has drawn closer. In fact, the race has been so close during the model’s duration that it has almost only depicted the race as a toss-up, only diverging from this… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 12
What’s changed today? To be honest, very little. We have still barely seen any data come out since the debate. That makes sense. As we stated in our update yesterday, it will take days, or a couple of weeks even, to get some solid polling post-debate. Speaking of, if you’re looking for some coverage on… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 11
Welcome back to the Partisan-Gravity Presidential Forecast model. If you missed it, you can catch up on the models methodology here and yesterday’s update here. Today’s model update comes just hours after the Trump vs. Harris Presidential Debate in Philadelphia, PA. As we covered here at Partisan-Gravity, the debate featured something of a lopsided victory… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 10
A GOOD DAY FOR HARRIS Strong state-level polling drives a few-point surge in her chance of winning What changed in today’s model run? First off, thank you for visiting. If you missed it, we launched our Presidential Forecast model yesterday and, if you’re interested in the methodology, we talk a lot about our assumptions and… Read more