Tag: Election Model

  • How Accurate Was the 2024 Election Model?

    How Accurate Was the 2024 Election Model?

    Four months ago to this day, Partisan-Gravity released its final election model with some predictions attached. No doubt that this update makes for a pretty delayed post mortem. Even so, I feel it’s important to assess how things went with the model and to discuss the future. This is especially important as our political media… Read more

  • 2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 10

    2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 10

    A GOOD DAY FOR HARRIS Strong state-level polling drives a few-point surge in her chance of winning What changed in today’s model run? First off, thank you for visiting. If you missed it, we launched our Presidential Forecast model yesterday and, if you’re interested in the methodology, we talk a lot about our assumptions and… Read more