Tag: 2024 Presidential Election
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 12
What’s changed today? To be honest, very little. We have still barely seen any data come out since the debate. That makes sense. As we stated in our update yesterday, it will take days, or a couple of weeks even, to get some solid polling post-debate. Speaking of, if you’re looking for some coverage on… Read more
Unpacking the Sep. 10 Presidential Debate
Who won the debate? Let’s cut right to the chase: it was a very good night for Harris and a very bad night for Trump. Harris won the debate and it seems as though the conventional wisdom is coalescing around that sentiment. In an unscientific, but still fun poll of undecided voters aired live on… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 10
A GOOD DAY FOR HARRIS Strong state-level polling drives a few-point surge in her chance of winning What changed in today’s model run? First off, thank you for visiting. If you missed it, we launched our Presidential Forecast model yesterday and, if you’re interested in the methodology, we talk a lot about our assumptions and… Read more