Tag: 2024 Election
Final Predictions: 2024 Presidential Election
If you’ve followed the Partisan Gravity Presidential Election Forecast, then you know well that we’ve had this race categorized as a toss-up as the election has drawn closer. In fact, the race has been so close during the model’s duration that it has almost only depicted the race as a toss-up, only diverging from this… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 10
A GOOD DAY FOR HARRIS Strong state-level polling drives a few-point surge in her chance of winning What changed in today’s model run? First off, thank you for visiting. If you missed it, we launched our Presidential Forecast model yesterday and, if you’re interested in the methodology, we talk a lot about our assumptions and… Read more
Introducing: National General Election Forecast
The 2024 Election is right around the corner. There are just 57 days until the general election, and ballots are going to be sent out imminently in North Carolina. In other words, the 2024 Presidential Election is here. If you’re following any of the major election forecasts, you’ve probably reviewed Nate Silver’s model, Split Ticket’s Presidential Ratings,… Read more