Category: 2024 National Election
Final Predictions: 2024 Presidential Election
If you’ve followed the Partisan Gravity Presidential Election Forecast, then you know well that we’ve had this race categorized as a toss-up as the election has drawn closer. In fact, the race has been so close during the model’s duration that it has almost only depicted the race as a toss-up, only diverging from this… Read more
September 27 Forecast Update: Harris Above 59%
Be sure to read more in the Election Forecast! Read more
Presidential Forecast Updated for September 22
You can read more at our model link here. Read more
Forecast Updated for September 21
You can read it here! Today’s big update: the race is now “Lean Harris”. Read more
Forecast Updated for September 20
Read more here Read more
Forecast Updated for September 19
Link to today’s forecast There were a few tweaks made for this model run. First and foremost, there was a bug! Some of the weighted calculations weren’t applying correctly, meaning lower quality polls were having more influence than they should have. That has been fixed. There has been a change made to the Markov chains… Read more
September 16 Forecast Posted
September 15 was too, but it has already been replaced. Thanks for reading Partisan-Gravity! Election Forecast Read more
Presidential Forecast Model: Updated (Sep13) & New Page
Thanks for visiting Partisan-Gravity.com! The Presidential Election Forecast Model is now located at the Presidential Election Forecast page in the site header. This will help preserve blog posts for just that: blog posts and will provide a one-stop shop for forecast updates. You can view the forecast here and, as a sneak peak before you… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 12
What’s changed today? To be honest, very little. We have still barely seen any data come out since the debate. That makes sense. As we stated in our update yesterday, it will take days, or a couple of weeks even, to get some solid polling post-debate. Speaking of, if you’re looking for some coverage on… Read more
2024 Presidential Forecast Update: September 11
Welcome back to the Partisan-Gravity Presidential Forecast model. If you missed it, you can catch up on the models methodology here and yesterday’s update here. Today’s model update comes just hours after the Trump vs. Harris Presidential Debate in Philadelphia, PA. As we covered here at Partisan-Gravity, the debate featured something of a lopsided victory… Read more